Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

Speculations are rampant on the features of the iPad 2, expected to be out in April 2011. Which three features do you expect to be included in this release?

» more info

To make predictions, please Login or Sign up.

POSSIBLE ANSWERS	PREDICTED CHANCE	TODAY
3-axis gyroscope (closed) » more info	PREDICTED 38.99%	ACTUAL 100.00%
7 inch screen size model (closed) » more info	PREDICTED 25.28%	ACTUAL 0.00%
Back-facing camera (closed) » more info	PREDICTED 48.31%	ACTUAL 100.00%
Faster processor (closed) » more info	PREDICTED 60.64%	ACTUAL 100.00%
Front-facing camera (closed) » more info	PREDICTED 83.59%	ACTUAL 100.00%
International version (closed) » more info	PREDICTED 29.99%	ACTUAL 0.00%
Retina display quality (closed) » more info	PREDICTED 27.21%	ACTUAL 0.00%
USB port (closed) » more info	PREDICTED 37.20%	ACTUAL 0.00%

Question ends

April 15, 2011 @ 10:21pm EDT

created by

BryanAlexander (all their questions)

Predictions Made

193 (Most: amichaelberman)

Discussion

You must be logged in to submit a comment. Login or Sign up.

Sort by: Down

Date

joemurphy • Wed Mar 02 2011 at 09:45pm EST

I’m surprised that the 3-axis gyroscope just kind of snuck in… both by Apple and in this market. It seems like the kind of whiz-banggery that Apple likes to tout, but is it a solution in search of a problem?

joemurphy • Thu Mar 03 2011 at 08:19am EST

And I’m even more surprised that the market, and the media, and our discussion so far, has missed mirrored video out. (Which Apple did at least spend 1 or 2 Keynote slides on.) I’ll go out on a limb and say that is the real game-changer for education.

keene • Wed Mar 02 2011 at 05:45pm EST

My vote would be to see if v.3 has Retina Display, carbon fiber body, Thunderbolt port or USB port, SD card slot. And maybe shift upwards in flash memory storage to 128 GB or eve 256 GB. iPad apps tend to be a little larger installs, especially ones that need to add additional content (such as some mapping apps. The maps are larger for instance on an iPad so are larger files. And all the media creation now possible with new version of iMovie and GarageBand begs for more internal storage, or for the iPad to have an SD card slot to easily store large files.

keene • Wed Mar 02 2011 at 04:36pm EST

New version has five out of eight of the predicted features. Nice! I do think we will see v.3 in about six months or so. This market is very hot right now and Apple will pull out all the stops to keep well ahead of the competition I would imagine. Also, I think display panel supply also was a factor in Retina displays not making it into this version. How about that nifty new case. Quite innovative for a case/cover.

BryanAlexander • Wed Mar 02 2011 at 05:40pm EST

True, all of it.
What should we add to an iPad 3 market, then?

amichaelberman • Tue Mar 01 2011 at 03:23pm EST

So does this market close once Apple makes its announcement tomorrow?

BryanAlexander • Tue Mar 01 2011 at 03:40pm EST

Yes, Michael, once it’s pinned down.
This is one market we tied to an event, rather than a date.

amilnarski • Wed Mar 02 2011 at 01:20pm EST

Just announced, time to close.

BryanAlexander • Wed Mar 02 2011 at 03:48pm EST

What’s your favorite source for final info, Amil – the Apple iPad page?

amilnarski • Tue Feb 22 2011 at 05:59pm EST

All Things Digital throws cold water on delay rumor: ATD

EDIT: Buy your shares now, because the invite is out.

BryanAlexander • Wed Feb 23 2011 at 07:04pm EST

Good one, Aaron!

tigersteve • Tue Feb 22 2011 at 11:40am EST

Hot off my Twitter feeds: #Apple Apple May Delay iPad 2 Launch Until June, Putting It on iPhone 5 Collision Course:

BryanAlexander • Tue Feb 22 2011 at 04:01pm EST

Whoa. Would that take the place of the rumored iPad 3, then?

BryanAlexander • Wed Feb 02 2011 at 10:15pm EST

An iPod 2 prototype spotted in the wild, featuring front camera, and probably back:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/02/02/us-apple-ipad-idUSTRE7119IN20110202

BryanAlexander • Tue Jan 11 2011 at 04:11pm EST

Josh Kim assumes cameras in a recent post . His other desiderata are cool, too, but I thought it significant that cameras were not blue-sky.

BryanAlexander • Thu Jan 13 2011 at 02:30pm EST

First glimpse of the new SDK has camera stuff built in:
http://thenextweb.com/apple/2011/01/13/latest-ios-sdk-confirms-existence-of-ipad-2-camera/
(thanks, Cogdog)

amichaelberman • Wed Jan 05 2011 at 07:03pm EST

SD I believe, but I think a USB port is very unlikely given Apple’s past comments and direction.

keene • Wed Jan 05 2011 at 05:29pm EST

Interesting news from CES regarding iPad 2. Looks like it very well will be a slimmer, thinner design along with the dual cameras. This is based on a vendor who claims to have an iPad 2 case on hand at CES.
http://bits.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/05/apple-ipad-2-rumors-circulate-the-web/

Regarding SD, I would say Apple is onboard with this. They have built SD slots into almost all their laptops and iMacs now. And the support the new SDXC format of card supporting higher capacity cards and faster transfer speeds.

keene • Mon Jan 03 2011 at 11:44am EST

I know there has been talk of a thinner, lighter form factor for iPad 2, so we might see this as a response to the lighter Kindle and other e-readers. The screen size would stay the same, but the case would be thinner and flat on the back, so the iPad won’t wobble around when placed on a flat surface. I also would like to see an SD card slot added so the camera connection kit would no longer be necessary to carry around.

1 person likes this

BryanAlexander • Tue Jan 04 2011 at 10:38am EST

I think you’re right on the size issue. Tech is all about anorexia, from our hardware obsessions to Second Life avatars.

Is Apple pro or anti-SD these days?

Reasons for Prediction

"Facetime. iPhone, iPod Touch, Macs, now iPad. "
Front-facing camera
January 01, 2011 @ 11:44pm EST

"See comments on rear-facing."
Front-facing camera
January 02, 2011 @ 09:36am EST

"The dang thing needs a camera!"
Front-facing camera
January 02, 2011 @ 10:52pm EST

"Given all the Mac products w/ cameras and Facetime, it's a given"
Front-facing camera
January 03, 2011 @ 10:56am EST

"Facetime will be a must-have feature"
Front-facing camera
January 03, 2011 @ 12:10pm EST

"Apple is making a huge investment in FaceTime - a front camera is a lock."
Front-facing camera
January 04, 2011 @ 11:55am EST

"With the success of the iPhonev4 - cameras are in the iPad4"
Front-facing camera
January 04, 2011 @ 02:22pm EST

"To catch up with other mobile devices"
Front-facing camera
January 05, 2011 @ 10:08am EST

"other touch screen internet devices have one (iphone, ipod touch)"
Front-facing camera
January 06, 2011 @ 01:52pm EST

"Apple loves FaceTime"
Front-facing camera
January 06, 2011 @ 04:31pm EST

"Definitely for video chat."
Front-facing camera
January 10, 2011 @ 04:35pm EST

"It's the next logical step for a device that, for many people, will replace the laptop. "
Front-facing camera
January 13, 2011 @ 03:21pm EST

"Skype users will love it and the case's prototype has room for this feature. "
Front-facing camera
January 20, 2011 @ 05:26pm EST

"Daring Fireball backs this, http://daringfireball.net/2011/02/the_next_six_months"
Front-facing camera
February 11, 2011 @ 10:54am EST

"It must have Facetime."
Front-facing camera
February 23, 2011 @ 11:20am EST

"Folks who are looking to Skype or similar services"
Front-facing camera
March 01, 2011 @ 10:52am EST

"The launch of Facetime, iPhone, and Apple's previous track record to innovate."
Front-facing camera
March 01, 2011 @ 01:34pm EST

"With the release of Facetime on every other apple device with a screen, it seems absurd they won't offer it for the iPad also."
Back-facing camera
January 02, 2011 @ 09:35am EST

"the iPad will follow the iPhone"
Back-facing camera
January 03, 2011 @ 11:19am EST

"To catch up to other mobile devices."
Back-facing camera
January 05, 2011 @ 10:07am EST

"Case designs from CES show a rear camera. They could be speculating, but worth a gamble"
Back-facing camera
January 10, 2011 @ 03:09pm EST

"Less important for true utility."
Back-facing camera
January 11, 2011 @ 12:52pm EST

"must have"
Back-facing camera
January 30, 2011 @ 10:38pm EST

"I hate iPads"
Back-facing camera
March 02, 2011 @ 12:51pm EST

"Apple likes offering people screen size / hard drive options."
7 inch screen size model
January 03, 2011 @ 10:14am EST

"Given Jobs' previous comments about tablets, I think a 7-inch form factor is unlikely. (Though I might buy one...)"
7 inch screen size model
January 03, 2011 @ 11:36am EST

"iPad was marketed to the Baby Boomers - we need more screen, not less"
7 inch screen size model
January 04, 2011 @ 02:24pm EST

"Steve does not seem interested in the form factor. But it is a guess"
7 inch screen size model
January 10, 2011 @ 04:36pm EST

"Apple needs to maintain their price points - don't see a 7" in the plan"
7 inch screen size model
February 08, 2011 @ 06:21pm EST

"For a device all about consumption, improved display quality is an easy bet."
Retina display quality
January 03, 2011 @ 10:15am EST

"Follows the lead of other Apple devices"
Retina display quality
January 06, 2011 @ 04:30pm EST

"it needs a better display"
Retina display quality
January 07, 2011 @ 04:43pm EST

"New report"
Retina display quality
January 15, 2011 @ 12:48am EST

"Daring Fireball says no, http://daringfireball.net/2011/02/the_next_six_months"
Retina display quality
February 11, 2011 @ 10:54am EST

"DF is thinking not: http://daringfireball.net/2011/02/the_next_six_months"
Retina display quality
February 11, 2011 @ 10:55am EST

"More power is a constant in tech upgrades"
Faster processor
January 01, 2011 @ 11:03pm EST

"Always have to increase the processor speed."
Faster processor
January 03, 2011 @ 10:58am EST

"Apps are looking for more processing power. iPad has a slower processor than the iPhone 4 at the moment."
Faster processor
January 04, 2011 @ 12:08pm EST

"Faster is better"
Faster processor
January 04, 2011 @ 02:25pm EST

"Faster processor: to match growing demand for video and games."
Faster processor
January 07, 2011 @ 03:10pm EST

"surely it will have a faster processor - this is such an easy upgrade to implement"
Faster processor
January 12, 2011 @ 01:43pm EST

"The new product will need a faster processor to handle the additional cameras and functional capabilities. "
Faster processor
January 20, 2011 @ 04:23pm EST

"It is the nature of hardware to get faster as time advances!"
Faster processor
March 01, 2011 @ 10:52am EST

"Sounds like a good move, based on NMC email list discussion."
International version
January 05, 2011 @ 11:59am EST

"This just seems like a standard evolutionary upgrade for the iPad"
3-axis gyroscope
January 04, 2011 @ 12:07pm EST

"So many cool applications - extends the device's marketability"
3-axis gyroscope
January 06, 2011 @ 04:32pm EST

"The iPad is very limited without the USB port. I find them very limited in general"
USB port
January 01, 2011 @ 11:06pm EST

"Apple's too committed to the dock connector. They might bring full USB support with the connection kit, but no port on the iPad. "
USB port
January 01, 2011 @ 11:50pm EST

"If there's one thing Apple loves on its mobile devices, it's proprietary connections. They'll stay away from usb on the iPad."
USB port
January 02, 2011 @ 09:37am EST

"Apple seems more focused on wireless than wired."
USB port
January 02, 2011 @ 11:13pm EST

"Would be a good supplement for when out of wifi range."
USB port
January 03, 2011 @ 10:57am EST

"Other tablets coming out in 2011 have USB ports"
USB port
January 03, 2011 @ 11:21am EST

"European Union's mobile phone miniUSB requirement could drive apple to include USB"
USB port
January 06, 2011 @ 02:03pm EST

"Recent news"
USB port
January 15, 2011 @ 12:47am EST

"The standardization to a mini-USB port makes sense, especially given the pressure by the International markets. "
USB port
January 20, 2011 @ 05:32pm EST

"Very common thing I hear from people with the current iPads is where is the USB port to save/copy my stuff"
USB port
March 01, 2011 @ 10:50am EST

price chart

- Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph

You need to upgrade your Flash Player to view the Inkling graphs.

Background information

Click to view original

We’re keenly interested in mobile devices, and the iPad is one of the most exciting devices.
This market “question” draws our attention to the details of the next release. These bring together many functions and affordances of mobile devices in general.

Timeline: the next iPad may be released anytime in early 2011.

Horizon Report homepage: http://www.nmc.org/horizon

More information about the possible answers

3-axis gyroscope

The new iPad may feature a gyroscope along 3 axes.

7 inch screen size model

A 7 inch screen size model is made available. This contrasts with the nearly 10" size of the first iPad.

Back-facing camera

A back-facing camera, which captures content from the other side of the iPad, like a phone camera.

Faster processor

Perhaps the new iPad will have a different, faster processor. The current iPad sports an A4.

Front-facing camera

A front-facing camera, capturing input from the screen, a la Webcam.

International version

The new iPad release may include one aimed at non-US markets, meaning different connectivity systems.

Retina display quality

The new iPad might feature the “Retina display” quality camera, which Apple includes on the iPhone 4.

USB port

The new iPad may include a USB port, or a MicroUSB port. This is currently lacking in the iPad.