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Will academic interest in digital literacy grow through 2011?

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POSSIBLE ANSWERS	PREDICTED CHANCE	TODAY
750-899 (closed)	PREDICTED 14.18%	ACTUAL 0.00%
900-1299 (closed) » more info	PREDICTED 22.92%	ACTUAL 0.00%
1300-1799 (closed)	PREDICTED 22.19%	ACTUAL 0.00%
1800-2099 (closed)	PREDICTED 18.24%	ACTUAL 0.00%
2100+ (closed)	PREDICTED 22.46%	ACTUAL 100.00%

Question ends

December 16, 2011 @ 09:28pm EST

created by

BryanAlexander (all their questions)

Predictions Made

73 (Most: s.andrews)

Discussion

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Date

Josef Biesenberger • Sun Nov 06 2011 at 03:11am EST

1490 on Nov 6:
http://scholar.google.com/scholar?hl=en&q=%22digital+literacy%22&as_ylo=2011&as_yhi=2011

BryanAlexander • Mon Nov 07 2011 at 05:50pm EST

1520 today, 24 hours later.

s.andrews • Mon Dec 12 2011 at 02:48pm EST

And now we’ve blown past all the other numbers, with over 2500. I feel like this market has been caught napping.

BryanAlexander • Mon Dec 12 2011 at 06:50pm EST

Our highest stock is in second place. Hm.

s.andrews • Sun Jan 22 2012 at 04:09pm EST

So if we predicted correctly, do we get a nickle or anything?

s.andrews • Tue Oct 25 2011 at 09:33pm EDT

1,390 – I know these things aren’t linear, but it’s more than doubled in the two months since you asked. Tacking on another 3-400 before the end of the year is not outside the range of possibility

s.andrews • Mon Oct 10 2011 at 10:47pm EDT

We’re now at 1220. Looks like at least 1300 if not 1800.

tjoosten • Fri Aug 26 2011 at 02:41pm EDT

Good questions, Bryan…the term digital literacy is thrown around pretty loosely. There seem to be two trains of thought. The first is that all students should be critical analyzers of information retrieved or obtained through digital technology. The other, and yes it is still here, is that students need technical skills on how to use technology (computer literacy) at a basic level (software skills, etc.), including to locate information.

tjoosten • Fri Aug 26 2011 at 10:57am EDT

In my university and state k-12 planning committees, I am seeing digital literacy considered as a strategic goal and/or action item across the curriculum. It also came up in the CFP in one of my conference steering committees. I believe in 2012 and 2013 we are going to see more of an emphasis as organizations raise the importance of this for all students.

BryanAlexander • Fri Aug 26 2011 at 02:27pm EDT

How is your state talking about DL? As, say, information lit redux, or something like media literacy, or…?

mark.mcbride • Tue Aug 23 2011 at 11:30am EDT

The library world is already trying to bring this to the forefront of our instruction and services. Check out this blog on Transliteracy. http://librariesandtransliteracy.wordpress.com/
Also, a great article on Metaliteracy by some of my SUNY colleagues Tom Mackey and Trudi Jacobson. http://crl.acrl.org/content/72/1/62.abstract

BryanAlexander • Tue Aug 23 2011 at 11:40am EDT

Good ones, Mark.

bboessen • Tue Aug 23 2011 at 11:19am EDT

So we’re at 744 so far in 2011; here we’re betting what the number will be by the end of the year, four months from now?

BryanAlexander • Tue Aug 23 2011 at 11:26am EDT

Correct.

BryanAlexander • Tue Aug 23 2011 at 11:09am EDT

One big potential driver might be library work. If the library sector seizes digital literacy as an extension/successor to information lit, that will mean a spike in publication.

Reasons for Prediction

"guesstimate"
900-1299
August 22, 2011 @ 09:52pm EDT

"Interest is strong, but I doubt it'll double in four months."
900-1299
August 23, 2011 @ 02:23pm EDT

"Students seeking a BAS in management take classes that include Information systems. As one of those students, I have spent a large amount of time on the computer. In order to navigate the net I have had to become literate in the digital world. I feel that the following year or two will be a bigger number for this growth."
900-1299
October 09, 2011 @ 12:08am EDT

"two weeks in, already @829. 1300 seems easy by Dec. & 2010 > 1300 cites http://bit.ly/2010dlcites so unless we get here, there is no growth"
1300-1799
September 07, 2011 @ 02:54pm EDT

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Background information

Will digital literacy become a significant focus for higher education?

This is an emergent field, one which seeks to help learners better apprehend digital information. It draws on media literacy, in addition to the library world’s established practice of information literacy.

The 2011 Horizon Report identified digital literacy as a critical challenge for education:, one with significant issues:

Although there is broad consensus that digital media literacy is vitally important for today’s students, what skills constitute digital literacy are still not welldefined nor universally taught. Teacher preparation programs are beginning to include courses related to digital media literacy, and universities are beginning to fold these literacy skills into coursework for students, but progress continues to be slow. The challenge is exacerbated by the fact that digital technologies morph and change quickly at a rate that generally outpaces curriculum development.

To see how academia responses to the challenge, we’re launching this first digital literacy prediction market. Metrics are very hard to come by, so we’ll try out this one: the number of articles on the topic identified by Google Scholar for the year 2011 (http://tinyurl.com/3ess659).  As of this writing, that number stands at 774.

More information about the possible answers

900-1299

900-1299 citations.