NITLE Prediction Markets

Make a prediction

Spend money (inkles) to express what you think will happen.

Next

Wisdom of the crowd

Everyone's predictions are combined in to a single prediction.

Next

Judgment time

Were you right or were you wrong about your prediction?

Don't show this again

Will academic interest in digital literacy grow through 2011?

POSSIBLE ANSWERS PREDICTED CHANCE TODAY
PREDICTED
14.18%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
22.92%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
22.19%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
18.24%
ACTUAL
0.00%
PREDICTED
22.46%
ACTUAL
100.00%

Question ends

December 16, 2011 @ 08:28pm CST
Email

Predictions Made

73 (Most: s.andrews)
Discussion

Sort by: Down Date

Josef Biesenberger   •   Sun Nov 06 2011 at 02:11am CST
BryanAlexander   •   Mon Nov 07 2011 at 04:50pm CST
1520 today, 24 hours later.
s.andrews   •   Mon Dec 12 2011 at 01:48pm CST
And now we’ve blown past all the other numbers, with over 2500. I feel like this market has been caught napping.
BryanAlexander   •   Mon Dec 12 2011 at 05:50pm CST
Our highest stock is in second place. Hm.
s.andrews   •   Sun Jan 22 2012 at 03:09pm CST
So if we predicted correctly, do we get a nickle or anything?
s.andrews   •   Tue Oct 25 2011 at 08:33pm CDT
1,390 – I know these things aren’t linear, but it’s more than doubled in the two months since you asked. Tacking on another 3-400 before the end of the year is not outside the range of possibility
s.andrews   •   Mon Oct 10 2011 at 09:47pm CDT
We’re now at 1220. Looks like at least 1300 if not 1800.
tjoosten   •   Fri Aug 26 2011 at 01:41pm CDT
Good questions, Bryan…the term digital literacy is thrown around pretty loosely. There seem to be two trains of thought. The first is that all students should be critical analyzers of information retrieved or obtained through digital technology. The other, and yes it is still here, is that students need technical skills on how to use technology (computer literacy) at a basic level (software skills, etc.), including to locate information.
tjoosten   •   Fri Aug 26 2011 at 09:57am CDT
In my university and state k-12 planning committees, I am seeing digital literacy considered as a strategic goal and/or action item across the curriculum. It also came up in the CFP in one of my conference steering committees. I believe in 2012 and 2013 we are going to see more of an emphasis as organizations raise the importance of this for all students.
BryanAlexander   •   Fri Aug 26 2011 at 01:27pm CDT
How is your state talking about DL? As, say, information lit redux, or something like media literacy, or…?
mark.mcbride   •   Tue Aug 23 2011 at 10:30am CDT
The library world is already trying to bring this to the forefront of our instruction and services. Check out this blog on Transliteracy. http://librariesandtransliteracy.wordpress.com/
Also, a great article on Metaliteracy by some of my SUNY colleagues Tom Mackey and Trudi Jacobson. http://crl.acrl.org/content/72/1/62.abstract
BryanAlexander   •   Tue Aug 23 2011 at 10:40am CDT
Good ones, Mark.
bboessen   •   Tue Aug 23 2011 at 10:19am CDT
So we’re at 744 so far in 2011; here we’re betting what the number will be by the end of the year, four months from now?
BryanAlexander   •   Tue Aug 23 2011 at 10:26am CDT
Correct.
BryanAlexander   •   Tue Aug 23 2011 at 10:09am CDT
One big potential driver might be library work. If the library sector seizes digital literacy as an extension/successor to information lit, that will mean a spike in publication.

Reasons for Prediction

"guesstimate"
900-1299
August 22, 2011 @ 08:52pm CDT

"Interest is strong, but I doubt it'll double in four months."
900-1299
August 23, 2011 @ 01:23pm CDT

"Students seeking a BAS in management take classes that include Information systems. As one of those students, I have spent a large amount of time on the computer. In order to navigate the net I have had to become literate in the digital world. I feel that the following year or two will be a bigger number for this growth."
900-1299
October 08, 2011 @ 11:08pm CDT

"two weeks in, already @829. 1300 seems easy by Dec. & 2010 > 1300 cites http://bit.ly/2010dlcites so unless we get here, there is no growth"
1300-1799
September 07, 2011 @ 01:54pm CDT

Show More
historical trend

- Click on possible answers in the right column to hide/show them on the graph

You need to upgrade your Flash Player to view the Inkling graphs.


More information about the possible answers

900-1299